tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post8874162029032582270..comments2023-11-05T04:40:23.785-07:00Comments on Rusty Idols: Obama in '08 a certaintyUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post-26050113300054014262008-02-20T14:13:00.000-07:002008-02-20T14:13:00.000-07:00That correct link:http://corner.nationalreview.com...That correct link:<BR/>http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=NmM2NDQ3ZWQ1YWM0Y2QyZTUxMDdkY2M2OTJlNGE5MWE=Cliffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03487395482670731681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post-67408972835002521752008-02-20T14:12:00.000-07:002008-02-20T14:12:00.000-07:00Here comes the first wave of Republican race baiti...Here comes the first wave of Republican race baiting: According to The National Review:<A HTTP://CORNER.NATIONALREVIEW.COM/POST/?Q=NMM2NDQ3ZWQ1YWM0Y2QYZTUXMDDKY2M2OTJLNGE5MWE= HREF- HREF="" REL="nofollow"> Obama is mixed race and in his 40's - therefore his parents must have been commies.</A> Please note the 'Asian girls for Love and Marriage' advertisement on the same page as this despicable crap for that extra surreal frisson.Cliffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03487395482670731681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post-717597027094069842008-02-20T12:09:00.000-07:002008-02-20T12:09:00.000-07:00Originally the unstated rationale was to protect t...Originally the unstated rationale was to protect the party from the primary voters picking an unelectable candidate - in this case most of the polls give Obama and edge over Clinton against McCain in the general.Cliffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03487395482670731681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post-56337967353298037682008-02-20T09:21:00.000-07:002008-02-20T09:21:00.000-07:00Here's an interesting little thought experiment. ...Here's an interesting little thought experiment. <BR/><BR/>If you give Obama the same proportion of super delegates as he has <I>elected</I> delegates (roughly 53 to 47 in favour of Obama now) and apply that proportion only to the 395 superdelegates that CNN has assigned to a candidate, that gives Obama 209 super delegates to Clinton's 187. That would make the TOTAL race now stand at 1363 for Obama and 1197 for Clinton (as opposed to CNN's total of 1315 for Obama and 1245 for Clinton, based on her superdelegate lead).<BR/><BR/>If you make ALL 795 super delegates follow the proportion of the total elected delegates to date, that makes the race 1575 Obama / 1385 for Clinton.<BR/><BR/>This is just a hypothetical thought experiment of course, and I'm not suggesting such a shift in superdelegates would (or should) happen, I just think the numbers are interesting. Surely, as the race goes on, if the PEOPLE keep favouring Obama (53-47 now) there will be increased pressure on the party brass to follow the people's lead (whereas now, among those who have announced their support, they favour Clinton 59 to 41). Of course, this turns the entire rationale for the existence of superdelegates on its head, but these people are politicians remember. They ignore the will of the people at their peril.Lord Kitchener's Ownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08348376638620272991noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post-58191624493160564282008-02-20T09:14:00.000-07:002008-02-20T09:14:00.000-07:00She could refurbish her reputation at this point b...She could refurbish her reputation at this point by conceding gracefully. The thing is, on policy she's better than Obama in many ways. Her healthcare plan is better and Paul Krugman has a point when he says that Obama has an unfortunate tendency of buying into Republican framing on issues like Social Security.<BR/><BR/>That said there are multiple reasons why Obama is the more attractive candidate; not least the poll numbers for hypothetical match ups with McCain in the general and his potential to bring people into the political process who otherwise might give it a miss.<BR/><BR/>Were I an American I would have been supporting Edwards until he dropped out and then have moved to Obama. I'd really like to see an Obama/Edwards ticket but I realize someone like Governer Richardson is far more likely - a great candidate with a great resume who can help Obama with his weakness with Latinos. Plus it’s a ticket guaranteed to give the racist right fatal aneurisms.Cliffhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03487395482670731681noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23680463.post-50713613371901739912008-02-20T08:29:00.000-07:002008-02-20T08:29:00.000-07:00Race baiting & voter suppression, you mean the kin...Race baiting & voter suppression, you mean the kinds of things Hillary has been doing against Obama???McGuirehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12771682181997456163noreply@blogger.com